Wednesday, January 29, 2014

Reignite My Blog

Dear Readers (if any, lol),


I have neglected this blog for almost 3 years. Since I am phasing out my current lifestyle and venturing into the abyss (sound sci-fi?), it's time to reignite my blog to the world again. Below is a to-do list for this blog:

  1. Redefine this blog's purpose
  2. Incorporate my biz into this blog
  3. Update my portfolio
  4. Finishing up my manifesto
  5. Add my literal writing (mostly in Chinese) into this blog
  6. Raise awareness of my political views, futuristic ideas, and philosophies to the general public
  7. Encourage people to conserve our (Chinese) heritage (what’s left of it) in Singapore
  8. Most importantly, increase readership and followers

Wow, that's a long list. Well, I hope we both (you (if any) and me (try not reignite this blog again)) (ugh, so many annotation (stop it)) can learn something through this blog.

Tuesday, June 14, 2011

Cleanup

Investment in stocks is never easy and we need great discipline once we install our strategy. I for one was never a discipline man.

Several months ago, I used my CPF money to buy HG Metal at 0.12 and last Friday I bought CapitaMall Asia at 1.56. I am suffering paper loss now. So I need to do more "cleanup" for my portfolio. Since I am in Steel industry, I am in no hurry to get rid of HG Metal.

CapitalMall Asia was at all time low last Friday and I just could not resist not to buy. Today, 14/06/2011, it dropped to 1.44 and bounced back at 1.5 which is a good sign. Yesterday, I should have sold it because it gap down in a long term down trend which signal further downward. But I refused to sell and suffer loss. I mean it's CapitaMall Asia. I was never good in technical analysis neither I am good in fundamental analysis. That's why I used a simple strategy to build my portfolio. Sadly, I don't follow it.

Due to my stubbornness not to sell CapitaAsia, I was forced to sell off K-Green, Lippo-Maple, and Sabana which I bought recently at 0.905 in order to reduce my exposure in shares as STI is in downtrend mode. According to my previous blog, K-Green and Lippo-Maple is in my get rid of list and Sabana is not in my buying list. Well, that's good in a sense. Ha.

By the way, I got rid of Fraser Commercial at 0.8 last month. I'll update my table when I find the time. I have suffer loss by getting rid of all these stocks. My plan was to wait till August when these stocks declare dividend to reduce my losses. Oh, well.

Wednesday, May 11, 2011

Disparity

There is a disparity between the top 20% of high income household and bottom 20% of low income household. The disparity is big if narrow to top 10% and bottom 10%. If down to 5%, disparity is huge. If 1%, the disparity is humongous. The poor live in a one-room rental HDB flat. The rich probably live in a bungalow with a swimming pool and most likely that's not their only house. Karl Marx hated this disparity and devised communism. It is this disparity that mirrors how wonderful Jesus' love is. He died for all of us regardless who we are and because of this love I despise this disparity and trying my best to treat people fairly. And also because of this disparity, I firmly believe in democracy where everyone gets only one vote.

In John 12:1-7, we know Judas objected Mary using expensive perfume to anoint Jesus and told Jesus we should have sold it and give it to the poor. If we read Matthew 26:6-13 and Mark 14:3~9, we know some of the disciples are also involved. Jesus did not rebuke Judas' idea, but He did tell His disciples not to bother Mary and said, "she has done a beautiful thing to me" which was for His burial.

Why am I bring this up? Recently, I know of a church almost complete their 12 million church building. If I was a member of that church, I would vote against it. I am not against building a church structure, it's that church building is the most under-utilized building and even with a kindergarten, it's still pretty much under-utilized. We must weigh in our options for us and surrounding community. A lavish church building for Jesus seems valid as this is what Mary done, but I am a hypocrite and Judas in disguise. The church should have use the money to set up a fund to help the poor.

The church I know of went through a "referendum" and votes were unanimous to scrap existing building and rebuild a new one. No matter how much I disagree to their church building project. I have to respect their decision because they went through a democratic process which is fair and square.

Why am I talking all this? Democracy is not perfect. Even in the house of God, people do not agree to each other, but one thing is loud and clear: helping poor is on top of Jesus' list.

Yes, democracy sometimes brings polarization and may create gridlock for the government, but isn't disparity of rich and poor a form of "polarization". If disparity continues to wide, people will feel more discontent which leads to unhappiness and that's not good for the society. But one thing is clear: we are here "to build a democratic society based on justice and equality so as to achieve happiness, prosperity and progress for our nation."

Tuesday, May 3, 2011

Ray's Mini-Manifesto Part 1

Introduction

Yes, it's election year and this blog is suppose to be about my personal finance not politics. Well, election does not happen often in Singapore and it's not as exciting as my home country, Taiwan. But this year's election is much more exciting (I feel media is too quiet). Although not every citizen gets to vote, but in this election a lot of you will be voting, I sincerely congratulate you.

Most parties have its manifesto consists of their policies base on their beliefs, ideas, and etc. for Singapore and it's citizens. If you re voting, you should read it carefully. We should also devise our own ideas for government policies base on our belief and conviction.


Personal Belief

My belief is base on Protestant's Holy Bible. I believe the Bible is infallible and I am more incline to take some passages literally. For example, it takes God six days to create the world and for me, a day is 24 hours. Bible is written for man to understand and not for us to second guess what does it really mean. I am clearly a fundamentalist and evangelical. Therefore, my principle of morality is conservative, but this does not mean I am a moral person and not all my deeds are moral. I am a sinner and I will continue to sin (I do try to cut down my sins). What is morally conservative anyways? Different people view it differently.

In a civil society, I do not support death penalty because ten commandments which was the written law from God does not permit one to kill. This does not mean I am a liberal. I also despise the idea of abortion. Yes, fetus can be scientifically proven to be lifeless, but one can not deny it's a initial life form for human being. I also believe in war of intervention. When Genocide occurs in a society, it's no longer a civil society and it should stopped by force if necessary. This does not mean I support death sentence given to Saddam Hussein. My belief is quite in line of Baptist's. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baptist_beliefs


Separation of Church and State

My belief and conviction are drawn from the Bible.  My conviction is to share the Gospel and to teach God's way. But I firmly support separation of church and state. I strongly accept a secular state. I really don't care how many casino, red light district, and etc. we've got. My Lord Jesus never use political mean to overthrow the government. He left the Roman empire in tact. But He did fervently clean up His temple. Church belongs to Jesus and state belongs to its variety of people.


Democracy

I am a strong believer in democracy because each one us gets only one vote regardless of education, race, religion, wealth, and etc. Most importantly, history clearly shows autocracy is unfair and some even treat people cruelly. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democracy

For those who knows me well, they know I am not fond of PAP and unlike most Singaporean, I don't adore MM Lee. But I do admire his love toward his wife.

My friend who lives in Holland village all her adult years had not voted in her life. Finally, this year she was excited that her GRC was contested by opposition. But somehow and I mean somehow, her estate was absorb into my GRC, Tanjong Pagar. I also got a friend who is almost forty years old is casting his maiden vote in this election.

If opposition was elected to government, the first thing they must do is to make sure everyone gets to vote. We must get rid of GRC and redraw boundaries. We have to make sure boundaries are geographical logical and stay intact, but some flexibility should be allowed due to population shift like en block or new residential state.

My suggestion is to divide Singapore into 10 districts and each district consists of 8 single constituencies. Each district has 2 "open" seats reserve for losers that garner the most votes. The open seats are prioritize for minority races to prevent marginalizing them. The numbers of districts, constituencies, and "open" seats are illustration only and need further discussion. (All numbers mentioned in the rest of article are only for illustration and open to discussion.)

MP should be a full time job and this is to serve people full time. Also, MP should not be allow to do sideline work to avoid conflict of interest. In order to contest a constituency, candidates must be a resident of the district where the constituency is under.


Free-Market Economy

I believe in an economy that is drive by market force with minimum government intervention. This kind of economy is called market economy or free-market economy. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Market_economy

Government should let go of all government link companies (maybe keeping PSA and other infrastructure related assets) and merge GIC and Temasek into one sovereign-wealth fund which can sub-divide into different field like energy, finance, IT, service, and etc. Government is merely a caretaker of assets, fund, and national companies and must take no part in executive duty. Assets, fund, and national companies should manage by private hand. All audit reports should make public for scrutinizing and change audit firm every two years. Also strategy should be review by consulting firm and change consulting firms every 5 years. The goal is to create a self-sustainable government that minimize tax collection.

Minimum wage is a complicated policy. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minimum_wage Some for and some against it. I for one is against it. A lot of countries set minimum wage and it does not solve the problem of poverty. You may find more info of this topic in the Economist. I take their side on minimum wage.

Somehow, the market is driven by desires and sometimes greed. Most people blame it on free market. Is it correct? We should not be gullible and easily tempted. We change consumer electronics or any other products way too often. Ideally, we should use it until it worn out or broke.

After the financial crisis and severe earthquake which created tsunami that put Japan in nuclear crisis, people are starting to realize we are squandering Earth's resources and too splurge. Currently, western world is starting it's austerity policies.

CPF board should privatize into a investment fund and let people have the freedom to choose what kind of fund they want to invest in. It's still necessary for the government to force people to contribute money for retirement. I think 20% of salary is good enough, 10% from company and 10% from employee.

Most people feel free-market will raise poverty. Therefore, government should have welfare programs to support less fortunate people. Government must make sure people has four basic necessities, clothing, food, shelter, and transportation. Clothing and food are less of an issue for Singaporean so I won't address them.


Housing

The goal of HDB is to "provide Singaporeans with quality homes and living environments" not creating monetary gains for owners. We should scrap HDB and privatize all public housing. Recently, the Economist wrote a special report on property.
This special report will argue that the effects of property booms and busts can be made less damaging, but that the asset itself is inherently unsafe. Another rich-world bubble may be unlikely in the near term, but things feel very different in emerging markets. In China in particular, the worry is about another bubble that could shake the world economy. And even in developed markets, property, which many people regard as stable, will always be prone to volatility.
The report also stated "If home ownership was the American dream before the bust, lots of people are now waking up to the benefits of renting". It also mentioned German's home ownership rate is 46%, Switzerland is below 40%, and Singapore is almost 90%.

All residential estates within 2km radius of MRT stations should rent to people who has household income below S$8,000. Each estate should have all basic amnesties like clinics, public library, swimming pool, and etc. It should also have nursing home and dormitory for maids.

My idea is bold in Singapore, but it's normal in other developed nations.


Transportation

Government should nationalize all public transportation companies and refraining from operation, but let private operators run it. Every 2 years, MRT lines and bus routes are open for tender to seek the lowest fix fare price.

Taxi companies should be left alone, but should give discount to less fortunate people who is handicap and elderly. 

Our government already discourage car ownership, but alternative is very limited. Government should encourage people to rent cars. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Car_sharing


Part 2 will be my views on education, health care, and immigration and my conclusion.

Thursday, April 14, 2011

Seperation

I have been neglecting my blog for 4 months. It's not I am very busy. It's just not much actions to share and a bit lazy to update my blog. Well, you can't get rich by being lazy. Anyways, I have a few changes in my portfolio.

Me and my wife share the same bed and the burden of raising our kids, but we don't share much about anything else and our philosophies toward investment or life for that matter are very different. The portfolio I posted here is a combination of mine and my wife's. Since we are unable to compromise our investment style, it's really no point to combine our portfolios. Thus, I have decided to separate our portfolio and without her portfolio, I consider my portfolio a high risk portfolio because I have too much exposure on FSL.

I have decided to get rid of all REITS in my CPF portfolio and fill it with blue chips like SPH because REITS frequently need to raise money by issuing rights and it's a hassle to use CPF money to buy rights. As for cash portfolio, I'll get rid of FSL, Fraser Comm, and K-Green and buying up First and Saizen REIT only. I'll wait for the right time to do all this. I will suffer a great loss, but I think it's necessary because no more low risk stock like Singpost and Plife.

In my absent of blogging, I sold SP Ausnet and bought and sold First Reit.

Tuesday, November 9, 2010

First Reit Rights Issue

Finally, the management has declare rights issue for First Reit in order to purchase two properties. I am no fundamental expert and I just took glimpse of their proposal.

Price at 0.50 is cheap, but a lot of rights is being declare, 5 for 4 to be exact. Recently, AIMS is at 7 for 20, which was their second rights. AIMS first rights was 2 for 1 due to the serious nature of their financial problem. First Reit has no issue with their finance. I really don't understand why they are doing this. Also one of the propose property is still under development. Personally, I don't like properties that are under development because of no past performance.

The presentation seemed ill-prepared. It did not clearly state how the income will accretive to current dividend and did not mentioned the gearing ratio after rights. They just give a figure on commencement rent for both property and future dividend yield which are just not enough info.

All in all, I'll continue to wait and see.

Friday, October 22, 2010

What's going on!

I was busy this whole month and was unable to update my blog. Also I was away from Singapore and was in Seoul last week. Finally, I am seeing some activity in steel business, but still not as excited as stock market.

I was not paying attention to stock market last week until now. Anyways, two new IPO, Global Logistics and Maple Tree Industrial, just opened. Without my consultation, my partner which is my wife went and buy both. Goodness. What's the hurry? I also divest SP Ausnet at 1.14 and bought K-Green at 1.1.

I will discuss further when I got the time. For now, take care in the mist.